US Power Index

U.S. officials increasingly assess that China is unlikely to invade Taiwan before 2028, citing delays in military readiness and Beijing’s interest in Taiwan’s 2028 election. The assessment affects expectations of U.S.-China strategic competition and the credibility of American deterrence in Asia.

The United States, Denmark and Greenland reached an agreement for a larger U.S. military presence on the island while restricting potential bases by U.S. adversaries. The move expands American Arctic reach but falls short of President Trump’s earlier ambition to acquire Greenland.