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Diplomatic Normalization Index
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MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
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ANNUALIZED VOLATILITY
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LATEST NEWS
PUBLISHED
August 16, 2026
Hamas leader heads to Cairo for Gaza talks ahead of Kushner visit
Hamas's top figure Khalil al-Hayya is traveling to Cairo to meet Egypt's intelligence chief Hassan Rashad in a bid to advance a Gaza agreement, shortly before a planned visit to the region by US envoy Jared Kushner.
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PUBLISHED
August 15, 2026
South Korea proposes talks to officially end war with North
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has offered Pyongyang formal negotiations aimed at officially ending the Korean War, which has remained frozen under an armistice rather than a peace treaty since 1953.
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PUBLISHED
August 7, 2026
Mexico and Peru restore diplomatic relations after asylum row
Mexico and Peru have re-established diplomatic ties, mending a rupture that began in November 2025 when former Peruvian prime minister Betssy Chavez sought asylum inside the Mexican embassy in Lima.
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